Will the Florida and Michigan Delegates Count at the Convention?

In my last post, I suggested that Clinton's prospects are dim in part because it's unlikely that she will succeed in getting the Florida and Michigan delegates to count at the convention in August. I still think that's true, but she might be able to pull it off.

Correction: An earlier version of this post said that the seating of the Florida and Michigan delegates would be up to the convention's Credentials Committee. (The composition of the committee is described in this document. The leadership of the committee was announced in this release.) After further research, and in particular after reading this post, I've concluded that whether or not they are seated will be decided by the full set of delegates at the convention.

Specifically, if the seating of the delegates is favored in the Credentials Committee by a minority of delegates (as is likely), a minority report from the committee will be filed. As the first major order of business, the convention will vote on whether to accept the minority report and seat the Florida and Michigan delegates.

The complication here is that superdelegates will participate in this vote, raising the possibility that
1) Obama has a majority of pledged delegates without Florida and Michigan,
2) Hillary has a majority of delegates (including superdelegates) without Floria and Michigan,
3) Hillary's majority votes to seat the Florida and Michigan delegates, and then
4) with Florida and Michigan, Hillary has a majority of pledged delegates.

Yglesias raises the same scenario. Although this is a worrisome possibility, my guess is that Obama will dominate the remaining caucuses and primaries sufficiently that Clinton won't be able to get a majority of pledged delegates even with the Florida and Michigan delegates.